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FORECASTING SUCCESS
ASU program aims to chart a new course in the changing seas of entertainment industry
By Oriana Parker

In the late 1980s, movie director James Cameron started shopping around an idea for a film based on the Titanic disaster. Put off by the topic, and by the technical challenges of the project, all of the major studios gave the project a wide berth, except for Paramount.

But the concept, unlike its ill-fated namesake, wasn’t destined to sink: “Titanic,” released in 1997, went on to win 11 Academy Awards and has grossed more than $825 million in the United States to date, one of the highest figures ever recorded by the motion picture industry.

Hollywood, and indeed much of the American entertainment industry, is a hit-driven enterprise. Companies rise and fall on their ability to pick—and produce—the next big “blockbuster.” So why did MGM, 20th Century Fox, Universal and other studios fail to see the potential of the concept for “Titanic”?

“Given the guidelines of industry thinking at that time, the decisions of the studios who passed on ‘Titanic’ were perfectly logical,” explains Peter Lehman, director of ASU’s Center for Film and Media Research and Film and Media Studies.

Collisions and convergence
One of the primary forces jamming the prognosticators’ forecasting abilities seems to be “convergence,” a term which refers to the technology-driven unification of different media channels over the last several decades. Film is grappling with convergence-related issues, as is television, the recording industry and many other entertainment segments.

“The entertainment industry’s current reactions to advanced technology can best be described as chaotic—for instance, they were caught off guard by the advent of the iPod,” said Lehman. “At this point, no one ‘speaks’ the languages of both entertainment and technology.”

Enter Enter/Tech
Perplexing as these dilemmas are, ASU is already working on the answers. Lehman, an expert in film theory, and Paul Privateer, an associate professor with a joint appointment in the Film and Media Studies department and the Consortium for Science and Policy Outcomes, are bravely exploring the uncharted and often stormy seas of convergence with 25 undergraduate and graduate students, via an exciting new program called EnterTech. The program within the Film and Media Studies department in the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences will grant an undergraduate certificate in Entertainment and Technology and is planning a professional master’s degree.

EnterTech introduces students to cutting-edge predictive models. Classes touch on such theoretical hot topics as sociobiology, fuzzy logic, and chaos theory. Not all of the curriculum is cutting edge: the works of
Francis Bacon, Isaac Newton, Rene Descartes, John Locke and Adam Smith are also intensely examined.

Tomorrow’s forecasters
EnterTech’s predictive science approach to entertainment/technology convergence problems has found favor with Hollywood professionals. More than 20 producers, lawyers, and studio executives, including Hirsch and Papazian, are helping to shape the curriculum and sharing their expertise with the students.

“We’re creating the next generation of leaders,” stresses Privateer.

David Young, vice president and dean of the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, asserts that the program is gaining national attention for both its interdisciplinary approach and its diverse mix of students.

“Our program is attracting a trans-disciplinary mix of students from pre-law, business and science, in addition to film and media studies majors,” says Young. “Our Hollywood visitors remarked that’s not the case in California film schools.”

-- Oriana Parker is a Scottsdale-based freelance writer.

 
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